Feeling Smart About the Electoral Math

Six weeks ago today, I posted my prediction for the states that would be in play. You can read what I said then here. Mind you, this was before the financial crisis hit. This was one of the few weeks in recent months when McCain was up in the national polls, and the DJIA closed at 11,230. This is the map I posted:

Things are going just a little better than this right now. Essentially my map is correct, but FL, MO, and NC are in play (that was just inconceivable back then).

On September 9, the polls looked like this:

MCCAIN 48%
OBAMA 45.6%